Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe
The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Chiba?
Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Tokyo(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Imabari(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(home) | 1-2 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vissel Kobe win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 JEF United Chiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2018 | Vissel Kobe 6-1 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Oct 14, 2015 | Vissel Kobe 1-0 JEF United Chiba | Emperor Cup |
| Oct 6, 2013 | JEF United Chiba 2-1 Vissel Kobe | J2 League |
| Jun 8, 2013 | Vissel Kobe 2-2 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Chiba on Jul 11, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vissel Kobe | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and JEF United Chiba sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Chiba?
- The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for JEF United Chiba.
- Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Chiba played?
- Vissel Kobe vs JEF United Chiba is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Nov 28, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsUrawa
- Nov 28, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsAvispa Fukuoka
- Nov 28, 2026KashimavsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 28, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsGamba Osaka
- Nov 28, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsFC Tokyo
- Nov 28, 2026Kyoto SangavsCerezo Osaka
- Nov 28, 2026Machida ZelviavsTokyo Verdy