Match

Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaCerezo Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (2,185 vs 2,050).

52%25%23%
Kashima winDrawCerezo Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 9Léo Ceará
  2. 40Y. Suzuki
  1. 8Matheus Bueno
  2. 10G. Shibasaki
  3. 17Élber
  4. 27Y. Matsumura
  1. 55N. Ueda
  2. 23K. Tsukui
  3. 5I. Sekigawa
  4. 7R. Ogawa
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 19P. Sabbag
  1. 77Lucas Fernandes
  2. 36J. Irvine
  3. 10S. Tanaka
  4. 16H. Okuda
  5. 66A. Ohata
  6. 41Y. Komi
  1. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  2. 4R. Inoue
  3. 97T. Takahashi
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 13, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)1-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 9, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)2-0J1 League
Sep 23, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Sep 19, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)3-3J1 League
Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(home)2-4J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)3-2J-League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 7, 2026Kagoshima United(home)2-0Emperor Cup
Sep 29, 2026Fujieda MYFC(away)2-1J-League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kashima wins, 1 draw, 1 Cerezo Osaka win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 23, 2025Kashima 3-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Apr 12, 2025Cerezo Osaka 1-0 KashimaJ1 League
Nov 30, 2024Cerezo Osaka 0-2 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 2, 2024Kashima 1-1 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
Sep 16, 2023Kashima 1-0 Cerezo OsakaJ1 League
May 7, 2023Cerezo Osaka 0-1 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka on Sep 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.71.268/1510/15
Cerezo Osaka1.31.367/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 6th in J1 League (19 points from 10 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 13th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kashima10613211619
13Cerezo Osaka1033491612

A question about Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka played?
Kashima vs Cerezo Osaka is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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