Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Kyoto Sanga (1,907) and Shimizu S-pulse (1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(away) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
| Jul 10, 2024 | Kyoto Sanga 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Kyoto Sanga | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Kyoto Sanga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse?
- The Footlab model makes Kyoto Sanga the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
- Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsUrawa
- Oct 31, 2026V-varen NagasakivsTokyo Verdy
- Oct 31, 2026Vissel KobevsNagoya Grampus
- Oct 31, 2026KashimavsCerezo Osaka
- Oct 31, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsKawasaki Frontale
- Oct 31, 2026JEF United ChibavsAvispa Fukuoka
- Oct 31, 2026Machida ZelviavsGamba Osaka
- Oct 31, 2026Mito HollyhockvsSanfrecce Hiroshima