JFK Ventspils vs Skanste: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, Ventspils
The Footlab model makes Skanste the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for JFK Ventspils. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win JFK Ventspils vs Skanste?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate JFK Ventspils (1,366) and Skanste (1,393).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JFK Ventspils have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Skanste have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Super Nova 2(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Riga Mariners(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Super Nova 2(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 JFK Ventspils win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Skanste win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Skanste 0-3 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Skanste 0-0 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Jun 28, 2025 | JFK Ventspils 2-2 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | JFK Ventspils 1-2 Skanste | 1. Liga |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Skanste 3-0 JFK Ventspils | 1. Liga |
| Nov 12, 2023 | JFK Ventspils 0-1 Skanste | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Skanste vs JFK Ventspils on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
JFK Ventspils score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Skanste score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JFK Ventspils | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Skanste | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
JFK Ventspils sit 12th in 1. Liga (6 points from 9 matches) and Skanste sit 8th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Skanste | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 8 | Skanste | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 33 | 20 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for JFK Ventspils vs Skanste?
- The Footlab model makes Skanste the favourite at 37%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for JFK Ventspils.
- Where and when is JFK Ventspils vs Skanste played?
- JFK Ventspils vs Skanste is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at OC Ventspils rezerves laukums, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.