Leevon / PPK vs Rīgas FS II: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), Riga
The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Rīgas FS II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leevon / PPK vs Rīgas FS II?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Leevon / PPK (1,495) and Rīgas FS II (1,396).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leevon / PPK have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Rīgas FS II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mārupe(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Riga Mariners(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metta / LU(away) | 1-12 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 5-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tukums II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Leevon / PPK win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Rīgas FS II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS II 1-2 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Leevon / PPK 2-1 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Rīgas FS II 2-1 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Rīgas FS II 1-0 Leevon / PPK | 1. Liga |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Leevon / PPK 1-2 Rīgas FS II | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rīgas FS II vs Leevon / PPK on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leevon / PPK score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rīgas FS II score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevon / PPK | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Rīgas FS II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leevon / PPK sit 2nd in 1. Liga (24 points from 10 matches) and Rīgas FS II sit 10th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leevon / PPK | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Leevon / PPK | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 20 | 39 |
| 10 | Rīgas FS II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 8 |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 48 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leevon / PPK vs Rīgas FS II?
- The Footlab model makes Leevon / PPK the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Rīgas FS II.
- Where and when is Leevon / PPK vs Rīgas FS II played?
- Leevon / PPK vs Rīgas FS II is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (mākslīgais), in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.