Match

JSK vs APR: prediction and stats

CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Tata Raphaël, Kinshasa

JSKAPR

The Footlab model makes JSK the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for APR. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JSK vs APR?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate JSK (1,780) and APR (1,880).

JSK win44 %
Draw32 %
APR win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JSK have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; APR have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JSK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Don Bosco(away)2-1Ligue 1
Jun 17, 2026Maniema Union(away)1-1Ligue 1
Jun 14, 2026Simba(home)1-0Ligue 1
Jun 11, 2026TP Mazembe(away)0-2Ligue 1
Jun 6, 2026Vita Club(home)0-0Ligue 1
APR
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 30, 2026Vipers(home)2-1CECAFA Club Cup
Jul 27, 2026Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(away)3-1CECAFA Club Cup
Jul 24, 2026GOR Mahia(home)0-5CECAFA Club Cup
May 31, 2026Gicumbi(home)2-0National Soccer League
May 27, 2026Al Merreikh(away)2-1National Soccer League

How many goals should we expect?

JSK score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; APR score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
JSK1.50.959/156/15
APR1.71.267/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JSK vs APR?
The Footlab model makes JSK the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for APR.
Where and when is JSK vs APR played?
JSK vs APR is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Tata Raphaël, in the CAF Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: JSK and APR

Ready to know everything about football?