Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC played?

FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, Okinawa

FC Ryukyu

Tochigi SC

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for FC Ryukyu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?

Tochigi SC starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,599).

FC Ryukyu win31 %

Draw28 %

Tochigi SC win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Ryukyu have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Ryukyu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 15, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jul 17, 2026	Urawa(home)	5-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Fukushima United(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League
May 31, 2026	Imabari(away)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-1	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Ryukyu win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tochigi SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 20, 2025	Tochigi SC 4-1 FC Ryukyu	J3 League
Mar 23, 2025	FC Ryukyu 2-1 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Sep 25, 2022	Tochigi SC 0-0 FC Ryukyu	J2 League
May 14, 2022	FC Ryukyu 1-0 Tochigi SC	J2 League
Dec 5, 2021	Tochigi SC 1-2 FC Ryukyu	J2 League
May 15, 2021	FC Ryukyu 4-2 Tochigi SC	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs FC Ryukyu on Sep 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Ryukyu score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Ryukyu	1.1	1.5	2	8/15	6/15
Tochigi SC	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Ryukyu sit 18th in J3 League (1 points from 2 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
18	FC Ryukyu	2	0	1	1	2	3	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC?: The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for FC Ryukyu.
Where and when is FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC played?: FC Ryukyu vs Tochigi SC is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Tapic Kenso Hiyagon Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.