Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa YamaguchiKochi United

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Kochi United (1,636).

Renofa Yamaguchi win62 %
Draw24 %
Kochi United win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nara Club(away)1-3J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Kagoshima United(away)1-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)1-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Parceiro Nagano(away)0-1J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Yokohama FC(away)1-2J2/J3 League
Kochi United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)2-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Verspah Oita(away)0-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026FC Gifu(away)0-7J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(home)0-0J3 League
Jun 6, 2026Omiya Ardija(away)1-2J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Kochi United 2-3 Renofa YamaguchiJ2/J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Renofa Yamaguchi on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi1.51.5211/159/15
Kochi United0.81.745/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Kochi United3111284
13Renofa Yamaguchi3102243

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United?
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United played?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Renofa Yamaguchi and Kochi United

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