Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi
The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,717) and Kochi United (1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kochi United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 1-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama FC(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Verspah Oita(away) | 0-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Gifu(away) | 0-7 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(away) | 1-2 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Renofa Yamaguchi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kochi United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Kochi United 2-3 Renofa Yamaguchi | J2/J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kochi United vs Renofa Yamaguchi on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renofa Yamaguchi | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Kochi United | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kochi United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kochi United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United?
- The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Kochi United.
- Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United played?
- Renofa Yamaguchi vs Kochi United is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 17, 2026KanazawavsNara Club
- Oct 17, 2026Kamatamare SanukivsRoasso Kumamoto
- Oct 17, 2026KitakyushuvsOsaka
- Oct 17, 2026FC RyukyuvsTochigi SC
- Oct 17, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsEhime FC
- Oct 17, 2026Gainare TottorivsThespakusatsu Gunma
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