Match

Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame

Kamatamare SanukiRoasso Kumamoto

The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Roasso Kumamoto starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,700 vs 1,592).

Kamatamare Sanuki win28 %
Draw30 %
Roasso Kumamoto win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kamatamare Sanuki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kochi United(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Veroskronos Tsuno(away)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kitakyushu(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Fukushima United(away)2-1J3 League
Jun 5, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-0J2/J3 League
Roasso Kumamoto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-1J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)2-2Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Tochigi SC(home)0-0J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Sagamihara(away)0-0J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2021Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League
Jun 26, 2021Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Dec 13, 2020Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League
Jul 25, 2020Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Sep 29, 2019Kamatamare Sanuki 2-2 Roasso KumamotoJ3 League
Mar 24, 2019Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs Kamatamare Sanuki on Oct 24, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kamatamare Sanuki0.91.729/1510/15
Roasso Kumamoto0.91.165/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Kamatamare Sanuki3111334
17Roasso Kumamoto3021012

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kamatamare Sanuki and Roasso Kumamoto

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