Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame
The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Roasso Kumamoto starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,700 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Roasso Kumamoto have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 2-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sagamihara(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Roasso Kumamoto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2021 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Jun 26, 2021 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Roasso Kumamoto 3-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Jul 25, 2020 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Kamatamare Sanuki 2-2 Roasso Kumamoto | J3 League |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Roasso Kumamoto 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Roasso Kumamoto vs Kamatamare Sanuki on Oct 24, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Roasso Kumamoto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Roasso Kumamoto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Roasso Kumamoto sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | Roasso Kumamoto | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
- The Footlab model makes Roasso Kumamoto the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto played?
- Kamatamare Sanuki vs Roasso Kumamoto is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026FC GifuvsFukushima United
- Oct 17, 2026KanazawavsNara Club
- Oct 17, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsKochi United
- Oct 17, 2026KitakyushuvsOsaka
- Oct 17, 2026FC RyukyuvsTochigi SC
- Oct 17, 2026Kagoshima UnitedvsEhime FC
- Oct 17, 2026Gainare TottorivsThespakusatsu Gunma
- Oct 17, 2026Parceiro NaganovsMatsumoto Yamaga