Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?

Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mikuni World Stadium, Kitakyushu

Kitakyushu

Thespakusatsu Gunma

The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Kitakyushu (1,618) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,661).

Kitakyushu win40 %

Draw24 %

Thespakusatsu Gunma win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kitakyushu have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kitakyushu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Okinawa SV(home)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jul 18, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Tochigi SC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Thespakusatsu Gunma
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Tohoku Gakuin University(away)	3-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Sagamihara(home)	1-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kanazawa(away)	1-4	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kitakyushu win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 13, 2025	Kitakyushu 1-0 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J3 League
Mar 30, 2025	Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-2 Kitakyushu	J3 League
Oct 3, 2021	Kitakyushu 2-2 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2 League
Mar 28, 2021	Thespakusatsu Gunma 0-2 Kitakyushu	J2 League
Oct 10, 2020	Kitakyushu 0-0 Thespakusatsu Gunma	J2 League
Aug 9, 2020	Thespakusatsu Gunma 1-2 Kitakyushu	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma on Sep 13, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kitakyushu score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kitakyushu	1.1	1.9	2	10/15	10/15
Thespakusatsu Gunma	1.7	2.0	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kitakyushu sit 15th in J3 League (2 points from 2 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Kitakyushu	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
20	Thespakusatsu Gunma	3	0	0	3	3	8	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?: The Footlab model makes Kitakyushu the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Where and when is Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?: Kitakyushu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on November 14, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mikuni World Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.