Polonia Środa vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Polonia Środa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Luzino?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Polonia Środa (1,872) and Luzino (1,893).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Polonia Środa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Luzino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Polonia Środa 1-2 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Luzino 2-2 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Polonia Środa 3-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Luzino 0-4 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Luzino on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Środa | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (15 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Luzino?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Polonia Środa.
- Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Luzino played?
- Polonia Środa vs Luzino is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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