Polonia Środa vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, Środa Wielkopolska
The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Luzino. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Luzino?
On Elo ratings, Polonia Środa has 1,885 points and Luzino 1,869.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Polonia Środa vs Luzino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Polonia Środa
4-3-3- 7P. Mikita
- 9J. Wilczyński
- 4Jakub Kledecki
- 97F. Karmański
- 10B. Bartkowiak
- 29M. Maćkowiak
- 38K. Gorecki
- 6Jonathan de Amo
- 2Michal Walczak
- 23M. Stangel
- 12M. Garstkiewicz
Luzino
4-3-3- 15F. Sosnowski
- 19P. Kurbiel
- 25W. Sawicki
- 7R. Zietarski
- 8D. Szalecki
- 2O. Pawlowski
- 4S. Weremko
- 13M. Karlikowski
- 21N. Kitowski
- 5P. Kostuch
- 12M. Staniszewski
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Środa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Luzino have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Polonia Środa wins, 1 draw, 1 Luzino win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Polonia Środa 1-2 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Luzino 2-2 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Polonia Środa 3-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Luzino 0-4 Polonia Środa | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Polonia Środa vs Luzino on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Środa score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Środa | 2.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Luzino | 2.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Środa sit 1st in III Liga - Group 2 (33 points from 13 matches) and Luzino sit 2nd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 38 | 18 | 33 |
| 2 | Luzino | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 28 |
A question about Polonia Środa vs Luzino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Środa vs Luzino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Luzino.
- Where and when is Polonia Środa vs Luzino played?
- Polonia Środa vs Luzino is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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