Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats
J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame
The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba?
JEF United Chiba starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Azul Claro Numazu(home) | 1-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Tokyo(away) | 0-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(home) | 0-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 JEF United Chiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2018 | Kamatamare Sanuki 2-1 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| Mar 21, 2018 | JEF United Chiba 6-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| Jul 8, 2017 | JEF United Chiba 4-3 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| May 3, 2017 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 JEF United Chiba | J2 League |
| May 3, 2016 | JEF United Chiba 1-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba on Jul 21, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| JEF United Chiba | 0.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba?
- The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba played?
- Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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