Match

Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba: prediction and stats

J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame

Kamatamare SanukiJEF United Chiba

The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba?

JEF United Chiba starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,592).

Kamatamare Sanuki win18 %
Draw22 %
JEF United Chiba win59 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; JEF United Chiba have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kamatamare Sanuki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kochi United(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Veroskronos Tsuno(away)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kitakyushu(away)0-0J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Fukushima United(away)2-1J3 League
Jun 5, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)0-0J2/J3 League
JEF United Chiba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Azul Claro Numazu(home)1-1Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)0-4J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)0-3J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 JEF United Chiba win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2018Kamatamare Sanuki 2-1 JEF United ChibaJ2 League
Mar 21, 2018JEF United Chiba 6-1 Kamatamare SanukiJ2 League
Jul 8, 2017JEF United Chiba 4-3 Kamatamare SanukiJ2 League
May 3, 2017Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 JEF United ChibaJ2 League
Nov 20, 2016Kamatamare Sanuki 1-1 JEF United ChibaJ2 League
May 3, 2016JEF United Chiba 1-1 Kamatamare SanukiJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba on Jul 21, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kamatamare Sanuki0.91.729/1510/15
JEF United Chiba0.82.026/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba?
The Footlab model makes JEF United Chiba the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba played?
Kamatamare Sanuki vs JEF United Chiba is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kamatamare Sanuki and JEF United Chiba

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