Match

Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka

Cerezo OsakaMito Hollyhock

The Footlab AI model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?

Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 198-point Elo edge (2,041 vs 1,842).

65%21%14%
Cerezo Osaka winDrawMito Hollyhock win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cerezo Osaka

3-4-2-1
  1. 7S. Uejo
  1. 77Lucas Fernandes
  2. 10S. Tanaka
  3. 16H. Okuda
  4. 66A. Ohata
  5. 41Y. Komi
  6. 36J. Irvine
  1. 27Dion-Johan Cools
  2. 4R. Inoue
  3. 97T. Takahashi
  1. 23Kosuke Nakamura

Mito Hollyhock

4-4-2
  1. 30J. Okumura
  2. 9R. Nemoto
  1. 19T. Semba
  2. 44M. Nishihara
  3. 20Y. Funabashi
  4. 22K. Taniguchi
  1. 17K. Itakura
  2. 3K. Osaki
  3. 16Y. Tamura
  4. 25T. Mase
  1. 27J. Słowik

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 08:05 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerezo Osaka have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cerezo Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 11, 2026Urawa(away)0-2J-League Cup
Nov 8, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-2J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Kashima(away)1-4J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Mito Hollyhock(away)3-1J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-2J1 League
Mito Hollyhock
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)0-1J1 League
Oct 31, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-3J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)1-3J-League Cup
Oct 25, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-6J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Fagiano Okayama(away)0-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Cerezo Osaka wins, 3 draws, 0 Mito Hollyhock wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 28, 2026Mito Hollyhock 1-3 Cerezo OsakaJ-League Cup
Oct 30, 2016Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Mar 6, 2016Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Cerezo OsakaJ2 League
Sep 23, 2015Cerezo Osaka 2-2 Mito HollyhockJ2 League
Jun 14, 2015Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Cerezo OsakaJ2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka on Oct 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cerezo Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cerezo Osaka1.51.7410/158/15
Mito Hollyhock1.11.735/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cerezo Osaka sit 11th in J1 League (17 points from 14 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 19th (9 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Cerezo Osaka14455162517
19Mito Hollyhock1423912269

A question about Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock?
The Footlab AI model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock played?
Cerezo Osaka vs Mito Hollyhock is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cerezo Osaka and Mito Hollyhock