Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Kashima played?

JEF United Chiba vs Kashima is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

JEF United Chiba vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba

Kashima

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Kashima is a heavy favourite: 2,158 Elo points against 1,813, a 345-point gap.

JEF United Chiba win19 %

Draw23 %

Kashima win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Kashima have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	1-2	J1 League

Kashima
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	3-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Vegalta Sendai(home)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	2-0	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 JEF United Chiba win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kashima win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	JEF United Chiba 0-2 Kashima	J1 League
Mar 22, 2026	Kashima 2-1 JEF United Chiba	J1 League
Dec 23, 2012	JEF United Chiba 0-1 Kashima	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Kashima on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15
Kashima	1.9	1.0	8	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Kashima sit 3rd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Kashima	3	3	0	0	9	6	9
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?: The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Kashima played?: JEF United Chiba vs Kashima is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.