Match

JEF United Chiba vs Kashima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United ChibaKashima

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kashima wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,890 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Kashima is a heavy favourite: 2,170 Elo points against 1,869, a 301-point gap.

23%26%51%
JEF United Chiba winDrawKashima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for JEF United Chiba vs Kashima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

JEF United Chiba

4-4-2
  1. 99Erison
  2. 29K. Yamura
  1. 6Dudu
  2. 41T. Yasui
  3. 37M. Himeno
  4. 7K. Tanaka
  1. 67M. Hidaka
  2. 2B. Nduka
  3. 15T. Mae
  4. 13D. Suzuki
  1. 19J. Suarez

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 8Matheus Bueno
  3. 14Y. Higuchi
  4. 17Élber
  1. 7R. Ogawa
  2. 55N. Ueda
  3. 5I. Sekigawa
  4. 23K. Tsukui
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 09:41 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kashima have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 25, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Urawa(away)2-3J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)0-0J1 League
Oct 11, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(home)1-1J1 League
Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026FC Tokyo(away)0-2J1 League
Nov 4, 2026Buriram United(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)4-1J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Pohang Steelers(home)3-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 JEF United Chiba wins, 0 draws, 3 Kashima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026JEF United Chiba 0-2 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 22, 2026Kashima 2-1 JEF United ChibaJ1 League
Dec 23, 2012JEF United Chiba 0-1 KashimaEmperor Cup

Last archived meeting: JEF United Chiba vs Kashima on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kashima score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba1.31.549/157/15
Kashima2.11.358/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 18th in J1 League (10 points from 13 matches) and Kashima sit 6th (23 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kashima14725292423
18JEF United Chiba13247152410

A question about JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Kashima?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Kashima played?
JEF United Chiba vs Kashima is played on December 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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