Match

Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaKyoto Sanga

The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (2,171 vs 1,983).

67%20%13%
Kashima winDrawKyoto Sanga win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Kashima

4-4-2
  1. 40Y. Suzuki
  2. 9Léo Ceará
  1. 27Y. Matsumura
  2. 8Matheus Bueno
  3. 6K. Misao
  4. 14Y. Higuchi
  1. 23K. Tsukui
  2. 7R. Ogawa
  3. 55N. Ueda
  4. 5I. Sekigawa
  1. 1T. Hayakawa

Kyoto Sanga

3-4-2-1
  1. 17Alex Negueba
  1. 77H. Arai
  2. 44K. Sato
  3. 25Yoon Sung-Jun
  4. 10S. Fukuoka
  5. 6João Pedro
  6. 24H. Morooka
  1. 15K. Nagata
  2. 50Y. Suzuki
  3. 40Y. Ishida
  1. 90Halls

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:03 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Buriram United(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)4-1J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Pohang Steelers(home)3-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-3J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)2-2J1 League
Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Công An Nhân Dân(away)0-0AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 31, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)2-0J1 League
Oct 27, 2026Newcastle Jets(home)5-2AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Kashima(home)2-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kashima win, 4 draws, 1 Kyoto Sanga win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 21, 2026Kyoto Sanga 2-2 KashimaJ1 League
Oct 25, 2025Kyoto Sanga 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 6, 2025Kashima 3-4 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Nov 17, 2024Kyoto Sanga 0-0 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 13, 2024Kashima 1-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Jul 1, 2023Kashima 0-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima on Oct 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.31.268/159/15
Kyoto Sanga1.21.256/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 6th in J1 League (23 points from 13 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 14th (13 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Kashima13724292223
14Kyoto Sanga13346172313

A question about Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga?
The Footlab AI model makes Kashima the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga played?
Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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