Match

Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaKyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 253-point Elo edge (2,160 vs 1,907).

Kashima win61 %
Draw22 %
Kyoto Sanga win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Suzuka Unlimited(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)4-3J1 League
Jul 15, 2026Vegalta Sendai(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Kyoto Sanga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Maruyasu Okazaki(home)1-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Mito Hollyhock(home)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kawasaki Frontale(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)1-2J1 League
Jul 17, 2026Shonan Bellmare(home)1-4Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kashima win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2025Kyoto Sanga 1-1 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 6, 2025Kashima 3-4 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Nov 17, 2024Kyoto Sanga 0-0 KashimaJ1 League
Apr 13, 2024Kashima 1-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Jul 1, 2023Kashima 0-0 Kyoto SangaJ1 League
Feb 18, 2023Kyoto Sanga 0-2 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima on Oct 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima2.01.086/158/15
Kyoto Sanga0.92.138/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Kashima3300969
18Kyoto Sanga3012471

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga?
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga played?
Kashima vs Kyoto Sanga is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kashima and Kyoto Sanga

Ready to know everything about football?