Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka played?

Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa Reysol

Gamba Osaka

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gamba Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and Gamba Osaka (2,024).

Kashiwa Reysol win40 %

Draw26 %

Gamba Osaka win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Senshu University(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Biwako Shiga(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gamba Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 18, 2025	Gamba Osaka 0-5 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Apr 6, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Aug 11, 2024	Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Jun 16, 2024	Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Jul 16, 2023	Gamba Osaka 3-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Feb 18, 2023	Kashiwa Reysol 2-2 Gamba Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol on Oct 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol	1.6	1.2	3	7/15	7/15
Gamba Osaka	1.8	1.2	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gamba Osaka.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka played?: Kashiwa Reysol vs Gamba Osaka is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.