Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-pulse played?

Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo Verdy

Shimizu S-pulse

The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-pulse?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Tokyo Verdy (1,872) and Shimizu S-pulse (1,901).

Tokyo Verdy win34 %

Draw28 %

Shimizu S-pulse win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Thespakusatsu Gunma(home)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(home)	1-1	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	2-4	J1 League

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Osaka(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 25, 2025	Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy	J1 League
Feb 16, 2025	Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J1 League
Sep 29, 2024	Tokyo Verdy 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse	Friendlies Clubs
Dec 2, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J2 League
Aug 6, 2023	Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse	J2 League
Apr 8, 2023	Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Tokyo Verdy	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy on Oct 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Shimizu S-pulse	0.9	1.3	1	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 17th in J1 League (2 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Shimizu S-pulse	3	1	0	2	1	2	3
17	Tokyo Verdy	3	0	2	1	2	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-pulse?: The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-pulse played?: Tokyo Verdy vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.