Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?

FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC Tokyo

Yokohama F. Marinos

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate FC Tokyo (2,003) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).

FC Tokyo win44 %

Draw27 %

Yokohama F. Marinos win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	6-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	2-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	1-5	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 FC Tokyo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Mar 7, 2026	FC Tokyo 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Sep 28, 2025	FC Tokyo 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Jun 25, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 0-3 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Sep 28, 2024	Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 FC Tokyo	J1 League
May 19, 2024	FC Tokyo 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs FC Tokyo on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo	1.9	1.5	4	8/15	10/15
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 11th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?: The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?: FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.