Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota
The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,961).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Nagoya Grampus 3-4 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale on Aug 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nagoya Grampus | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Kashiwa ReysolvsGamba Osaka
- Apr 24, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsMachida Zelvia
- Apr 24, 2027V-varen NagasakivsJEF United Chiba
- Apr 24, 2027UrawavsMito Hollyhock
- Apr 24, 2027Vissel KobevsAvispa Fukuoka
- Apr 24, 2027KashimavsKyoto Sanga
- Apr 24, 2027FC TokyovsYokohama F. Marinos
- Apr 24, 2027Tokyo VerdyvsShimizu S-pulse