Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya GrampusKawasaki Frontale

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,961).

Nagoya Grampus win41 %
Draw25 %
Kawasaki Frontale win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Gainare Tottori(home)1-3Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Gamba Osaka(home)3-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kashima(away)1-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 25, 2026Consadole Sapporo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Kawasaki Frontale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Tochigi SC(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)1-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-1J1 League
Jul 16, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2025Nagoya Grampus 3-4 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Feb 15, 2025Kawasaki Frontale 4-0 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Sep 22, 2024Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Jun 2, 2024Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League
Jul 1, 2023Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Apr 15, 2023Kawasaki Frontale 1-2 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale on Aug 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus1.51.8211/1511/15
Kawasaki Frontale1.11.129/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Nagoya Grampus3102443
14Kawasaki Frontale3030443

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale?
The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kawasaki Frontale.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nagoya Grampus and Kawasaki Frontale

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