Urawa vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama
The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Urawa vs Mito Hollyhock?
Urawa starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Yamanashi Gakuin(home) | 3-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kyoto Sangyo University(home) | 0-2 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Urawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock 1-4 Urawa | J1 League |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Urawa 2-0 Mito Hollyhock | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2019 | Urawa 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Urawa vs Mito Hollyhock?
- The Footlab model makes Urawa the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Mito Hollyhock.
- Where and when is Urawa vs Mito Hollyhock played?
- Urawa vs Mito Hollyhock is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 24, 2027V-varen NagasakivsJEF United Chiba
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- Apr 24, 2027Vissel KobevsAvispa Fukuoka
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