Match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima

Sanfrecce HiroshimaMachida Zelvia

The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Machida Zelvia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,155) and Machida Zelvia (2,172).

40%26%34%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima winDrawMachida Zelvia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 23S. Ayukawa
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 5N. Arai
  3. 18D. Suga
  4. 35Y. Nakajima
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 11M. Kato
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 37Kim Ju-Sung
  1. 1K. Osako

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 99T. Yengi
  1. 9Koki Ogawa
  2. 16H. Mae
  3. 7Y. Soma
  4. 33T. Akimoto
  5. 6H. Mochizuki
  6. 31N. Lavi
  1. 50D. Okamura
  2. 3G. Shōji
  3. 2T. Ouwejan
  1. 1K. Tani

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Machida Zelvia have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(home)4-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)0-4J1 League
Oct 17, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)2-0J1 League
Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)5-0J1 League
Oct 18, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 15, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 10, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)1-0J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, 0 draws, 0 Machida Zelvia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Feb 16, 2025Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Sep 28, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Apr 3, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia on Oct 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Machida Zelvia score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.50.795/159/15
Machida Zelvia1.90.787/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 3rd in J1 League (26 points from 12 matches) and Machida Zelvia sit 1st (27 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Machida Zelvia12831301027
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima12822291026

A question about Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia?
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Machida Zelvia.
Where and when is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia played?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia is played on April 24, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Machida Zelvia

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