Where and when is Kochi United vs V-varen Nagasaki played?

Kochi United vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J-League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kochi United vs V-varen Nagasaki: prediction and stats

J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, Haruno

Kochi United

V-varen Nagasaki

The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kochi United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kochi United vs V-varen Nagasaki?

V-varen Nagasaki starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,636).

Kochi United win17 %

Draw22 %

V-varen Nagasaki win62 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kochi United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kochi United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(home)	2-1	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Verspah Oita(away)	0-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Gifu(away)	0-7	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Matsumoto Yamaga(home)	0-0	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Omiya Ardija(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kochi United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 V-varen Nagasaki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 3, 2019	V-varen Nagasaki 0-0 Kochi United	Emperor Cup
Aug 27, 2016	V-varen Nagasaki 2-1 Kochi United	Emperor Cup

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Kochi United on Jul 3, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Kochi United score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kochi United	0.8	1.7	4	5/15	9/15
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kochi United vs V-varen Nagasaki?: The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Kochi United.
Where and when is Kochi United vs V-varen Nagasaki played?: Kochi United vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on September 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.