Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus played?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

Nagoya Grampus

The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate V-varen Nagasaki (1,910) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).

V-varen Nagasaki win39 %

Draw24 %

Nagoya Grampus win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, V-varen Nagasaki have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Ehime FC(home)	3-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 V-varen Nagasaki win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nagoya Grampus win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Feb 21, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 1-3 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Sep 15, 2018	Nagoya Grampus 3-4 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
May 12, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 3-0 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Oct 21, 2017	V-varen Nagasaki 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J2 League
Jun 25, 2017	Nagoya Grampus 2-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J2 League

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

V-varen Nagasaki score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
V-varen Nagasaki	1.4	1.6	2	10/15	9/15
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus?: The Footlab model makes V-varen Nagasaki the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Nagoya Grampus.
Where and when is V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus played?: V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at PEACE STADIUM Connected by SoftBank, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.