Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,934) and Widzew Łódź (1,970).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Korona Kielce(home) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wisla Plock(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Motor Lublin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Widzew Łódź win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 2-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Widzew Łódź 2-0 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Motor Lublin 3-0 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Motor Lublin | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Motor Lublin 3-4 Widzew Łódź | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Widzew Łódź 1-2 Motor Lublin | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Motor Lublin on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Widzew Łódź | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Widzew Łódź | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź?
- The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Widzew Łódź.
- Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź played?
- Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026Slask WroclawvsGornik Zabrze
- Dec 12, 2026Legia WarszawavsPogon Szczecin
- Dec 12, 2026Wisla PlockvsRaków Częstochowa
- Dec 12, 2026Korona KielcevsJagiellonia
- Dec 12, 2026Piast GliwicevsZaglebie Lubin
- Dec 12, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsLech Poznan
- Dec 12, 2026GKS KatowicevsWisla Krakow
- Dec 12, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsRadomiak Radom