Match

Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor LublinWidzew Łódź

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Widzew Łódź. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,934) and Widzew Łódź (1,970).

Motor Lublin win39 %
Draw27 %
Widzew Łódź win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Widzew Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Korona Kielce(away)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026GKS Katowice(home)1-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)1-3Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Widzew Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)3-3Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Korona Kielce(home)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026Jagiellonia(away)2-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026Wisla Plock(away)0-0Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026Motor Lublin(home)2-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Motor Lublin win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Widzew Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Widzew Łódź 2-2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Apr 26, 2026Widzew Łódź 2-0 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Oct 24, 2025Motor Lublin 3-0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Apr 19, 2025Widzew Łódź 1-2 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
Oct 19, 2024Motor Lublin 3-4 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
Jun 29, 2024Widzew Łódź 1-2 Motor LublinFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Widzew Łódź vs Motor Lublin on Jul 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew Łódź score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin1.41.639/158/15
Widzew Łódź1.50.976/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Widzew Łódź sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Widzew Łódź5131876
13Motor Lublin5122685

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź?
The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Widzew Łódź.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź played?
Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Motor Lublin and Widzew Łódź

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