Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze played?

Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tarczyński Arena, Wrocław

Slask Wroclaw

Gornik Zabrze

The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gornik Zabrze. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Slask Wroclaw (1,962) and Gornik Zabrze (2,041).

Slask Wroclaw win40 %

Draw27 %

Gornik Zabrze win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slask Wroclaw have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gornik Zabrze have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slask Wroclaw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	3-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Monaco(home)	2-3	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Wisla Krakow(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(home)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 8, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 5, 2026	Ferencvarosi TC(away)	0-1	UEFA Europa League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Slask Wroclaw win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Gornik Zabrze win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 25, 2026	Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
May 9, 2025	Gornik Zabrze 2-0 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
Nov 9, 2024	Slask Wroclaw 0-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Apr 14, 2024	Gornik Zabrze 2-0 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa
Oct 8, 2023	Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Gornik Zabrze	Ekstraklasa
Apr 23, 2023	Gornik Zabrze 2-0 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Gornik Zabrze vs Slask Wroclaw on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Slask Wroclaw	2.1	1.1	5	10/15	12/15
Gornik Zabrze	1.6	1.3	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slask Wroclaw sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Gornik Zabrze sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Gornik Zabrze	3	3	0	0	7	3	9
12	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	7	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze?: The Footlab model makes Slask Wroclaw the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gornik Zabrze.
Where and when is Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze played?: Slask Wroclaw vs Gornik Zabrze is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tarczyński Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.