Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,943) and Wisla Krakow (1,978).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Nieciecza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Artis(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Korona Kielce win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Wisla Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 2-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Korona Kielce 1-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| May 10, 2019 | Wisla Krakow 1-0 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 9, 2019 | Korona Kielce 2-6 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Wisla Krakow 0-1 Korona Kielce | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Wisla Krakow vs Korona Kielce on Jul 11, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 0.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Wisla Krakow.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow played?
- Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026JagielloniavsSlask Wroclaw
- Sep 5, 2026Lech PoznanvsRaków Częstochowa
- Sep 5, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWisla Plock
- Sep 5, 2026Piast GliwicevsGKS Katowice
- Sep 5, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsGornik Zabrze
- Sep 5, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 5, 2026Motor LublinvsLegia Warszawa
- Sep 5, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsZaglebie Lubin