Match

Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)EXBUD Arena, Kielce

Korona KielceWisla Krakow

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Korona Kielce (1,943) and Wisla Krakow (1,978).

Korona Kielce win42 %
Draw27 %
Wisla Krakow win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Motor Lublin(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026Widzew Łódź(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026Legia Warszawa(home)1-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026Jagiellonia(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 17, 2026Nieciecza(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Wisla Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Plock(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)3-4Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026GKS Katowice(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026Artis(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Korona Kielce win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Wisla Krakow win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 11, 2020Wisla Krakow 1-1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Feb 23, 2020Wisla Krakow 2-0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Sep 14, 2019Korona Kielce 1-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
May 10, 2019Wisla Krakow 1-0 Korona KielceEkstraklasa
Mar 9, 2019Korona Kielce 2-6 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Sep 29, 2018Wisla Krakow 0-1 Korona KielceEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Wisla Krakow vs Korona Kielce on Jul 11, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce0.90.947/152/15
Wisla Krakow1.91.268/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 4 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Wisla Krakow4202886
10Korona Kielce4121445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow?
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Wisla Krakow.
Where and when is Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow played?
Korona Kielce vs Wisla Krakow is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at EXBUD Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Korona Kielce and Wisla Krakow

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