Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for GKS Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Piast Gliwice (1,913) and GKS Katowice (1,994).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piast Gliwice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; GKS Katowice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisla Krakow(home) | 4-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Piast Gliwice win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 GKS Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 2026 | GKS Katowice 0-1 Piast Gliwice | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Piast Gliwice 0-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 8, 2025 | GKS Katowice 1-3 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 16, 2025 | GKS Katowice 0-0 Piast Gliwice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Piast Gliwice 2-2 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Piast Gliwice on Jul 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Piast Gliwice score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Piast Gliwice sit 14th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 5 matches) and GKS Katowice sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Piast Gliwice the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for GKS Katowice.
- Where and when is Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice played?
- Piast Gliwice vs GKS Katowice is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026JagielloniavsSlask Wroclaw
- Sep 5, 2026Korona KielcevsWisla Krakow
- Sep 5, 2026Lech PoznanvsRaków Częstochowa
- Sep 5, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWisla Plock
- Sep 5, 2026Cracovia KrakowvsGornik Zabrze
- Sep 5, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsRadomiak Radom
- Sep 5, 2026Motor LublinvsLegia Warszawa
- Sep 5, 2026Wieczysta KrakówvsZaglebie Lubin