Korona Kielce II vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Korona Kielce II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Korona Kielce II (1,772) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Korona Kielce II win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Korona Kielce II 2-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Korona Kielce II 0-3 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 3-0 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Korona Kielce II 1-2 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1-1 Korona Kielce II | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Podlasie Biała Podlaska vs Korona Kielce II on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce II | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
- The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Korona Kielce II.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?
- Korona Kielce II vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsStar Starachowice
- Oct 10, 2026KSZO 1929vsBusko-Zdroj
- Oct 10, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 10, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Oct 10, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Oct 10, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsJarosław
- Oct 10, 2026NaprzódvsSokół Kolb.
- Oct 10, 2026Moravia MorawicavsWisłoka Dębica