Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Milenium, Skawina
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,772) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jarosław(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wiślanie Jaśkowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 2-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-3 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| May 10, 2025 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 9-0 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 3-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-1 Wiślanie Jaśkowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice 0-1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Nov 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 4 (13 points from 5 matches) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
- Where and when is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?
- Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Milenium, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsStar Starachowice
- Oct 10, 2026KSZO 1929vsBusko-Zdroj
- Oct 10, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 10, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Oct 10, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Oct 10, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsJarosław
- Oct 10, 2026NaprzódvsSokół Kolb.
- Oct 10, 2026Moravia MorawicavsWisłoka Dębica