Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec played?

Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, Zamość

Hetman Zamosc

Czarni Połaniec

The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec?

Czarni Połaniec starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,524).

Hetman Zamosc win35 %

Draw27 %

Czarni Połaniec win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hetman Zamosc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Czarni Połaniec have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hetman Zamosc
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Korona Kielce II(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Star Starachowice(home)	3-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Czarni Połaniec
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce II(away)	4-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hetman Zamosc	1.3	2.4	2	10/15	11/15
Czarni Połaniec	1.5	1.7	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hetman Zamosc sit 10th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Czarni Połaniec sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Czarni Połaniec	5	3	0	2	8	8	9
10	Hetman Zamosc	5	1	3	1	7	5	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec?: The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hetman Zamosc.
Where and when is Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec played?: Hetman Zamosc vs Czarni Połaniec is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR w Zamościu, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.