Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów
The Footlab model makes KS Wieczysta Krakow II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (1,634) and KS Wieczysta Krakow II (1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; KS Wieczysta Krakow II have 2, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; KS Wieczysta Krakow II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and KS Wieczysta Krakow II sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
- The Footlab model makes KS Wieczysta Krakow II the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
- Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II played?
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsStar Starachowice
- Oct 10, 2026KSZO 1929vsBusko-Zdroj
- Oct 10, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsCzarni Połaniec
- Oct 10, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Oct 10, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Oct 10, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsJarosław
- Oct 10, 2026NaprzódvsSokół Kolb.
- Oct 10, 2026Moravia MorawicavsWisłoka Dębica