Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs Wisłoka Dębica played?

Moravia Morawica vs Wisłoka Dębica is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Moravia Morawica vs Wisłoka Dębica: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Moravia Morawica

Wisłoka Dębica

The Footlab model makes Wisłoka Dębica the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Wisłoka Dębica?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Moravia Morawica (1,709) and Wisłoka Dębica (1,720).

Moravia Morawica win36 %

Draw26 %

Wisłoka Dębica win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Moravia Morawica have 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Wisłoka Dębica have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Moravia Morawica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Naprzód(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4

Wisłoka Dębica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Jarosław(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; Wisłoka Dębica score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Moravia Morawica	1.1	2.7	1	3/9	6/9
Wisłoka Dębica	1.3	1.9	2	10/15	12/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Moravia Morawica sit 11th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Wisłoka Dębica sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Wisłoka Dębica	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
11	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Moravia Morawica vs Wisłoka Dębica?: The Footlab model makes Wisłoka Dębica the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Moravia Morawica.
Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs Wisłoka Dębica played?: Moravia Morawica vs Wisłoka Dębica is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.