Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga played?

FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

FC Tokyo

Kyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate FC Tokyo (2,001) and Kyoto Sanga (1,905).

FC Tokyo win55 %

Draw23 %

Kyoto Sanga win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Tokyo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Tokyo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	JEF United Chiba(home)	2-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Vissel Kobe(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	1-5	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-0	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Tokyo win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2025	FC Tokyo 0-4 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 31, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo	J1 League
Aug 24, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 3-0 FC Tokyo	J1 League
May 3, 2024	FC Tokyo 2-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Aug 12, 2023	FC Tokyo 2-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Jun 18, 2023	Kyoto Sanga 1-3 FC Tokyo	J-League Cup

Last archived meeting: FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga on Aug 24, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Tokyo score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Tokyo	1.7	1.5	3	9/15	10/15
Kyoto Sanga	1.1	2.2	2	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Tokyo sit 11th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	FC Tokyo	3	1	1	1	5	7	4
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga?: The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga played?: FC Tokyo vs Kyoto Sanga is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.