Match

Urawa vs FC Tokyo: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Saitama Stadium 2002, Saitama

UrawaFC Tokyo

The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Urawa vs FC Tokyo?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Urawa (1,932) and FC Tokyo (2,003).

Urawa win29 %
Draw27 %
FC Tokyo win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Urawa have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC Tokyo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
FC Tokyo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)6-0Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026JEF United Chiba(home)2-0J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Vissel Kobe(away)2-2J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Machida Zelvia(home)1-5J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Urawa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Tokyo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 16, 2026Urawa 0-0 FC TokyoJ1 League
Feb 14, 2026FC Tokyo 1-1 UrawaJ1 League
Aug 27, 2025FC Tokyo 2-1 UrawaEmperor Cup
Jul 19, 2025FC Tokyo 3-2 UrawaJ1 League
May 17, 2025Urawa 3-2 FC TokyoJ1 League
Sep 21, 2024Urawa 0-2 FC TokyoJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs FC Tokyo on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Tokyo score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Urawa1.71.758/158/15
FC Tokyo1.91.548/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Urawa sit 19th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and FC Tokyo sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11FC Tokyo3111574
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Urawa vs FC Tokyo?
The Footlab model makes FC Tokyo the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Urawa.
Where and when is Urawa vs FC Tokyo played?
Urawa vs FC Tokyo is played on March 10, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Saitama Stadium 2002, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Urawa and FC Tokyo

Ready to know everything about football?