Shimizu S-pulse vs Urawa: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Urawa?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,901) and Urawa (1,932).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Urawa have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Machida Zelvia(away) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 1-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 3-4 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Urawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Urawa | J1 League |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Urawa 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Jun 18, 2023 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Urawa | J-League Cup |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Urawa 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J-League Cup |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-2 Urawa | J1 League |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Urawa 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Urawa on Sep 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Urawa | 1.5 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 19 | Urawa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Urawa?
- The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Urawa.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Urawa played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Urawa is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Nov 28, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsAvispa Fukuoka
- Nov 28, 2026Vissel KobevsJEF United Chiba
- Nov 28, 2026KashimavsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 28, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsGamba Osaka
- Nov 28, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsFC Tokyo
- Nov 28, 2026Kyoto SangavsCerezo Osaka
- Nov 28, 2026Machida ZelviavsTokyo Verdy