Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka played?

Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto Sanga

Cerezo Osaka

The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka?

Cerezo Osaka starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,019 vs 1,907).

Kyoto Sanga win29 %

Draw24 %

Cerezo Osaka win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyoto Sanga have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-0	J1 League

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	Tochigi City(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cerezo Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Cerezo Osaka 3-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Mar 14, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Sep 28, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 21, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 1-4 Cerezo Osaka	J-League Cup
May 3, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Aug 17, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 3-5 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kyoto Sanga score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kyoto Sanga	1.1	2.2	2	9/15	10/15
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kyoto Sanga sit 18th in J1 League (1 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Cerezo Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka played?: Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka is played on November 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.