La Cure Waves vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for La Cure Waves. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Cure Waves vs Orlando Pirates?
Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,026 Elo points against 1,571, a 454-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Cure Waves have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Orlando Pirates have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Petite Rivière Noire(home) | 6-1 | Mauritian League |
| May 24, 2025 | Grande Riviere Sud Est(home) | 2-0 | Mauritian League |
| May 17, 2025 | ASVP(away) | 2-2 | Mauritian League |
| May 11, 2025 | Cercle de Joachim(away) | 0-1 | Mauritian League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | PAS Mates(away) | 1-0 | Mauritian League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
La Cure Waves score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.6 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Cure Waves | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Orlando Pirates | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Cure Waves vs Orlando Pirates?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for La Cure Waves.
- Where and when is La Cure Waves vs Orlando Pirates played?
- La Cure Waves vs Orlando Pirates is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.