Orlando Pirates vs La Cure Waves: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 77%, against 18% for a draw and 6% for La Cure Waves. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs La Cure Waves?
Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,031 Elo points against 1,571, a 460-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; La Cure Waves have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2025 | Petite Rivière Noire(home) | 6-1 | Mauritian League |
| May 24, 2025 | Grande Riviere Sud Est(home) | 2-0 | Mauritian League |
| May 17, 2025 | ASVP(away) | 2-2 | Mauritian League |
| May 11, 2025 | Cercle de Joachim(away) | 0-1 | Mauritian League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | PAS Mates(away) | 1-0 | Mauritian League |
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Cure Waves score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| La Cure Waves | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs La Cure Waves?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 77%, against 18% for a draw and 6% for La Cure Waves.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs La Cure Waves played?
- Orlando Pirates vs La Cure Waves is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.