Match

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: prediction and stats

UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa

Sporting CPLask Linz

The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Lask Linz. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,496 Elo points against 2,189, a 307-point gap.

82%12%6%
Sporting CP winDrawLask Linz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting CP

4-3-3
  1. 10Geny Catamo
  2. 97L. Suárez
  3. 19N. Irankunda
  1. 5Sergi Altimira
  2. 77I. Doumbia
  3. 8João Simões
  1. 25Gonçalo Inácio
  2. 22Iván Fresneda
  3. 20M. Araújo
  4. 72Eduardo Quaresma
  1. 30Kaique

Known absences

  • Z. DebastOut · Injured

Lask Linz

5-3-2
  1. 27C. Lang
  2. 7S. Adeniran
  1. 6M. Bogarde
  2. 9K. Daněk
  3. 18A. Schöpf
  1. 43Alemão
  2. 16A. Andrade
  3. 4X. Mbuyamba
  4. 20K. Jørgensen
  5. 25Y. Dibango
  1. 1L. Jungwirth

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Lask Linz have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting CP
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Lens(away)2-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026SC Braga(away)3-1Primeira Liga
Sep 19, 2026Arouca(home)2-2Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2026Famalicao(away)1-1Primeira Liga
Sep 9, 2026Galatasaray(home)3-1UEFA Champions League
Lask Linz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Liverpool(home)3-6UEFA Champions League
Oct 11, 2026Rapid Vienna(home)0-2Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026First Vienna(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026TSV Hartberg(away)3-3Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Sturm Graz(away)1-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sporting CP win, 0 draws, 2 Lask Linz wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2020Sporting CP 1-4 Lask LinzUEFA Europa League
Dec 12, 2019Lask Linz 3-0 Sporting CPUEFA Europa League
Oct 3, 2019Sporting CP 2-1 Lask LinzUEFA Europa League

Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs Lask Linz on Oct 1, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lask Linz score 2.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting CP2.90.9510/1511/15
Lask Linz2.81.548/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting CP sit 3rd in UEFA Champions League (6 points from 2 matches) and Lask Linz sit 32nd (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sporting CP2200516
32Lask Linz2002370

A question about Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Lask Linz.
Where and when is Sporting CP vs Lask Linz played?
Sporting CP vs Lask Linz is played on October 21, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio José Alvalade, in the UEFA Champions League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sporting CP and Lask Linz

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