Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab AI model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Chrobry Głogów. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lechia Gdansk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Lechia Gdansk (1,817) and Chrobry Głogów (1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lechia Gdansk
4-3-3- 7K. Dodaj
- 97Vladislav Blănuță
- 30J. Mena
- 13A. Shakh
- 33T. Wójtowicz
- 99T. Neugebauer
- 21D. Beskorovaynyi
- 3D. Malov
- 4K. Łopata
- 19S. Kopásek
- 1A. HolewiÅski
Chrobry Głogów
4-3-3- 11S. Strózik
- 51A. Rybak
- 17A. Sadiku
- 10Y. Sharabura
- 33A. Bukowski
- 24K. Grzelak
- 8J. Grič
- 21M. Kozajda
- 80K. Tabiś
- 77M. Bartolewski
- 22K. Bąkowski
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 01:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Chrobry Głogów have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 3-2 | I Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-1 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 0-0 | I Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 0-0 | I Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(away) | 2-3 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Lechia Gdansk wins, 0 draws, 0 Chrobry Głogów wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Chrobry Głogów | I Liga |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Chrobry Głogów 2-4 Lechia Gdansk | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów on Dec 9, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Lechia Gdansk score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chrobry Głogów score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia Gdansk | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Chrobry Głogów | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lechia Gdansk sit 4th in I Liga (22 points from 14 matches) and Chrobry Głogów sit 14th (15 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lechia Gdansk | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 22 |
| 14 | Chrobry Głogów | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
A question about Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lechia Gdansk the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Chrobry Głogów.
- Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów played?
- Lechia Gdansk vs Chrobry Głogów is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Stal MielecvsArka Gdynia
- Dec 5, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsMiedz Legnica
- Dec 5, 2026Ruch ChorzówvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- Dec 5, 2026Stal RzeszówvsWarta Poznań
- Dec 5, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsŁKS Łódź
- Dec 5, 2026Polonia BytomvsNieciecza
- Dec 5, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsOdra Opole
- Dec 5, 2026Polonia WarszawavsPodbeskidzie