Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica played?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

Miedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica?

Miedz Legnica starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,759).

Pogoń Siedlce win25 %

Draw27 %

Miedz Legnica win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

Miedz Legnica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(away)	2-0	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Podbeskidzie(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Miedz Legnica win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 2-0 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Oct 17, 2025	Miedz Legnica 2-2 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga
Sep 24, 2025	Miedz Legnica 2-0 Pogoń Siedlce	Cup
May 10, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 3-0 Miedz Legnica	I Liga
Nov 3, 2024	Miedz Legnica 4-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15
Miedz Legnica	1.3	1.1	6	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Miedz Legnica	5	3	1	1	8	2	10
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica?: The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica played?: Pogoń Siedlce vs Miedz Legnica is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.