Ruch Chorzów vs Puszcza Niepołomice: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice
The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Puszcza Niepołomice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,862) and Puszcza Niepołomice (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Puszcza Niepołomice have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Stal Rzeszów(away) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(home) | 1-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(away) | 1-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Miedz Legnica(home) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Nieciecza(away) | 0-2 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(away) | 0-3 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odra Opole(home) | 3-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Polonia Warszawa(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Puszcza Niepołomice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 2-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | I Liga |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Puszcza Niepołomice 1-1 Ruch Chorzów | I Liga |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Ruch Chorzów 1-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 0-1 Puszcza Niepołomice | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Ruch Chorzów 0-0 Puszcza Niepołomice | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Puszcza Niepołomice vs Ruch Chorzów on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Puszcza Niepołomice score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzów | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Puszcza Niepołomice | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Puszcza Niepołomice sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ruch Chorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 17 | Puszcza Niepołomice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Puszcza Niepołomice?
- The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Puszcza Niepołomice.
- Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Puszcza Niepołomice played?
- Ruch Chorzów vs Puszcza Niepołomice is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Lechia GdanskvsChrobry Głogów
- Dec 5, 2026Stal MielecvsArka Gdynia
- Dec 5, 2026Pogoń SiedlcevsMiedz Legnica
- Dec 5, 2026Stal RzeszówvsWarta Poznań
- Dec 5, 2026Unia SkierniewicevsŁKS Łódź
- Dec 5, 2026Polonia BytomvsNieciecza
- Dec 5, 2026Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsOdra Opole
- Dec 5, 2026Polonia WarszawavsPodbeskidzie