Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań played?

Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stal, Rzeszów

Stal Rzeszów

Warta Poznań

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań?

Warta Poznań starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,723).

Stal Rzeszów win26 %

Draw25 %

Warta Poznań win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Rzeszów have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Rzeszów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Arka Gdynia(away)	0-4	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	1-5	I Liga

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Stal Rzeszów win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Warta Poznań win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2025	Warta Poznań 0-1 Stal Rzeszów	I Liga
Aug 17, 2024	Stal Rzeszów 4-0 Warta Poznań	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Warta Poznań vs Stal Rzeszów on Mar 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Rzeszów score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stal Rzeszów	1.3	2.3	1	11/15	11/15
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stal Rzeszów sit 18th in I Liga (2 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
18	Stal Rzeszów	5	0	2	3	3	12	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań?: The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Rzeszów.
Where and when is Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań played?: Stal Rzeszów vs Warta Poznań is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stal, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.