Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Nieciecza played?

Polonia Bytom vs Nieciecza is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Bytom vs Nieciecza: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia Bytom

Nieciecza

The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Nieciecza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Nieciecza?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Nieciecza (1,871).

Polonia Bytom win39 %

Draw25 %

Nieciecza win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Nieciecza have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

Nieciecza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	1-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	2-1	I Liga
Jul 27, 2026	Nea Salamis(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Polonia Bytom win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nieciecza win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 7, 2025	Nieciecza 2-0 Polonia Bytom	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Nieciecza vs Polonia Bytom on Feb 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nieciecza score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15
Nieciecza	2.1	1.6	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Nieciecza sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Nieciecza	5	2	0	3	7	8	6
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Nieciecza?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Bytom the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Nieciecza.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Nieciecza played?: Polonia Bytom vs Nieciecza is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.