Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie played?

Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, Warszawa

Polonia Warszawa

Podbeskidzie

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Polonia Warszawa (1,886) and Podbeskidzie (1,952).

Polonia Warszawa win35 %

Draw26 %

Podbeskidzie win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Warszawa have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Warszawa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	3-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Ruch Chorzów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(home)	3-1	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga

Podbeskidzie
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	3-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Polonia Warszawa win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Podbeskidzie win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 14, 2024	Podbeskidzie 1-2 Polonia Warszawa	I Liga
Sep 29, 2023	Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Podbeskidzie	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Polonia Warszawa on Apr 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Warszawa score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Warszawa	1.5	1.7	1	10/15	10/15
Podbeskidzie	1.8	1.1	3	12/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Warszawa sit 4th in I Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Polonia Warszawa	5	3	1	1	8	4	10
13	Podbeskidzie	5	0	5	0	8	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie?: The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Polonia Warszawa.
Where and when is Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie played?: Polonia Warszawa vs Podbeskidzie is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii im. generała Kazimierza Sosnkowskiego, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.