Match

Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Lechia GdanskŁKS Łódź

The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Lechia Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Lechia Gdansk (1,850) and ŁKS Łódź (1,898).

Lechia Gdansk win37 %
Draw26 %
ŁKS Łódź win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lechia Gdansk have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; ŁKS Łódź have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lechia Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)1-0I Liga
Aug 14, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)0-1I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Podbeskidzie(away)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Warta Poznań(home)0-3I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-3I Liga
ŁKS Łódź
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stal Mielec(home)4-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Nieciecza(home)2-1I Liga
Aug 9, 2026Chrobry Głogów(home)1-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026Polonia Bytom(home)2-1I Liga
Jul 25, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(away)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lechia Gdansk win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 ŁKS Łódź win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 23, 2019Lechia Gdansk 3-1 ŁKS ŁódźEkstraklasa
Jul 19, 2019ŁKS Łódź 0-0 Lechia GdanskEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź on Nov 23, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Lechia Gdansk score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; ŁKS Łódź score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lechia Gdansk1.12.119/1511/15
ŁKS Łódź1.91.3211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lechia Gdansk sit 16th in I Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and ŁKS Łódź sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3ŁKS Łódź531110510
16Lechia Gdansk5113394

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź?
The Footlab model makes ŁKS Łódź the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Lechia Gdansk.
Where and when is Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź played?
Lechia Gdansk vs ŁKS Łódź is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lechia Gdansk and ŁKS Łódź

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