Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia played?

Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Gliwice

Ruch Chorzów

Arka Gdynia

The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arka Gdynia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Ruch Chorzów (1,863) and Arka Gdynia (1,901).

Ruch Chorzów win38 %

Draw26 %

Arka Gdynia win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ruch Chorzów have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Arka Gdynia have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ruch Chorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-2	I Liga
Jul 26, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	0-2	I Liga

Arka Gdynia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 17, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	3-0	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Unia Skierniewice(away)	0-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	4-0	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ruch Chorzów win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Arka Gdynia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2025	Ruch Chorzów 0-1 Arka Gdynia	I Liga
Aug 22, 2024	Arka Gdynia 1-1 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
May 13, 2023	Arka Gdynia 0-2 Ruch Chorzów	I Liga
Oct 16, 2022	Ruch Chorzów 2-4 Arka Gdynia	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia on Mar 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Ruch Chorzów score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Arka Gdynia score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ruch Chorzów	1.2	1.2	5	6/15	5/15
Arka Gdynia	1.2	1.5	6	4/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ruch Chorzów sit 10th in I Liga (7 points from 5 matches) and Arka Gdynia sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Arka Gdynia	5	3	0	2	8	4	9
10	Ruch Chorzów	5	2	1	2	3	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia?: The Footlab model makes Ruch Chorzów the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Arka Gdynia.
Where and when is Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia played?: Ruch Chorzów vs Arka Gdynia is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.