Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań played?

Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce

Warta Poznań

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań?

Warta Poznań starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,885 vs 1,759).

Pogoń Siedlce win30 %

Draw25 %

Warta Poznań win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Siedlce have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Warta Poznań have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pogoń Siedlce win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Warta Poznań win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 25, 2025	Pogoń Siedlce 2-1 Warta Poznań	I Liga
Nov 24, 2024	Warta Poznań 2-1 Pogoń Siedlce	I Liga

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań on May 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Warta Poznań sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań?: The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań played?: Pogoń Siedlce vs Warta Poznań is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ROSRRiT, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.