Where and when is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Podbeskidzie played?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Podbeskidzie is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Podbeskidzie: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Znicza (MZOS), Pruszków

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Podbeskidzie

The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Podbeskidzie?

Podbeskidzie starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,953 vs 1,836).

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win30 %

Draw25 %

Podbeskidzie win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Podbeskidzie have 7, 8 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 14, 2026	Stal Rzeszów(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Miedz Legnica(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 2, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(home)	1-0	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

Podbeskidzie
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Opole(home)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-1	I Liga
Aug 8, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Hutnik Kraków(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	3-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Podbeskidzie win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 24, 2024	Podbeskidzie 0-2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	II Liga - East
Jul 28, 2024	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 3-1 Podbeskidzie	II Liga - East

Last archived meeting: Podbeskidzie vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki on Nov 24, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Podbeskidzie score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1.1	1.2	6	8/15	7/15
Podbeskidzie	1.8	1.1	3	12/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki sit 1st in I Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Podbeskidzie sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	5	3	2	0	8	3	11
13	Podbeskidzie	5	0	5	0	8	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Podbeskidzie?: The Footlab model makes Podbeskidzie the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Podbeskidzie played?: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Podbeskidzie is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Znicza (MZOS), in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.