Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats
I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Mielec(away) | 2-5 | I Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pogoń Siedlce(home) | 2-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź(away) | 1-2 | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Warta Poznań(home) | 4-3 | I Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arka Gdynia(home) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 3-0 | I Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home) | 0-1 | I Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ruch Chorzów(away) | 2-0 | I Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(home) | 1-1 | I Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Polonia Bytom win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Miedz Legnica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Miedz Legnica 1-1 Polonia Bytom | I Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Polonia Bytom 4-0 Miedz Legnica | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Miedz Legnica | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Miedz Legnica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 15 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica?
- The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Polonia Bytom.
- Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica played?
- Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Lechia GdanskvsŁKS Łódź
- May 22, 2027Stal MielecvsPuszcza Niepołomice
- May 22, 2027Pogoń SiedlcevsWarta Poznań
- May 22, 2027Ruch ChorzówvsArka Gdynia
- May 22, 2027Stal RzeszówvsNieciecza
- May 22, 2027Unia SkierniewicevsChrobry Głogów
- May 22, 2027Pogoń Grod. MazowieckivsPodbeskidzie
- May 22, 2027Polonia WarszawavsOdra Opole