Match

Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Polonii Bytom, Bytom

Polonia BytomMiedz Legnica

The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica?

A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Polonia Bytom (1,842) and Miedz Legnica (1,898).

Polonia Bytom win36 %
Draw25 %
Miedz Legnica win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Bytom have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Miedz Legnica have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Bytom
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)2-2I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Stal Mielec(away)2-5I Liga
Aug 7, 2026Pogoń Siedlce(home)2-2I Liga
Jul 31, 2026ŁKS Łódź(away)1-2I Liga
Jul 24, 2026Warta Poznań(home)4-3I Liga
Miedz Legnica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Arka Gdynia(home)2-0I Liga
Aug 16, 2026Unia Skierniewice(away)3-0I Liga
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)0-1I Liga
Aug 2, 2026Ruch Chorzów(away)2-0I Liga
Jul 27, 2026Podbeskidzie(home)1-1I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Polonia Bytom win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Miedz Legnica win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2026Miedz Legnica 1-1 Polonia BytomI Liga
Sep 20, 2025Polonia Bytom 4-0 Miedz LegnicaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Miedz Legnica vs Polonia Bytom on Apr 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Miedz Legnica score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Polonia Bytom2.12.3213/1513/15
Miedz Legnica1.31.166/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Bytom sit 15th in I Liga (5 points from 5 matches) and Miedz Legnica sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Miedz Legnica53118210
15Polonia Bytom512211145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica?
The Footlab model makes Miedz Legnica the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica played?
Polonia Bytom vs Miedz Legnica is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Polonii Bytom, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Polonia Bytom and Miedz Legnica

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